# Can we really predict the future? Over one million forecasts offer clues, not certainty

- Source: Phys.org
- Published: 2026-10-26T13:20:32+00:00
- Category: Local
- Original: https://phys.org/news/2026-10-future-million-clues-certainty.html
- Canonical: https://groundlevelnews.com/story/can-we-really-predict-the-future-over-one-million-forecasts-offer-clue-6fe1cf/

Can crowds of people trading on what they believe will happen collectively predict the future? A new Tel Aviv University study of more than 1 million forecasts suggests that they often come remarkably close. But when it comes to certain events, from international conflicts to elections, the odds may tell a different story.

_Ground Level News shows a short summary only; the full article and all rights belong to Phys.org._